2023
  • Non-ICIMOD publication

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WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update (Target years: 2023-2027)

  • WMO
  • Summary

The report suggset that here is a 66% likelihood that the annual average near-surface global temperature between 2023 and 2027 will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for at least one year. There is a 98% likelihood that at least one of the next five years, and the five-year period as a whole, will be the warmest on record. 

The annual mean global near-surface temperature for each year between 2023 and 2027 is predicted to be between 1.1°C and 1.8°C higher than the 1850-1900 average. This is used as a baseline because it was before the emission of greenhouse gases from human and industrial activities.

Predicted precipitation patterns for the May to September 2023-2027 average, compared to the 1991-2020 average, suggest increased rainfall in the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska and northern Siberia, and reduced rainfall for this season over the Amazon and parts of Australia.

  • Pages:
    24
  • Language:
    English
  • Published Year:
    2023
  • Publisher Name:
    World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
  • Publisher Place:
    Geneva, Switzerland
  • External Link:
    Source