2007
  • Non-ICIMOD publication
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Chapter 11 - Regional Climate Projections

  • Christensen, J. H.
  • Hewitson, B.
  • Busuioc, A.
  • Chen, A.
  • Gao, X.
  • Held, R.
  • Jones, R.
  • Kolli, R. K.
  • Kwon, W. K.
  • Laprise, R.
  • Summary
Increasingly reliable regional climate change projections are now available for many regions of the world due to advances in modelling and understanding of the physical processes of the climate system. Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs) remain the foundation for projections while downscaling techniques now provide valuable additional detail. Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models cannot provide information at scales finer than their computational grid (typically of the order of 200 km) and processes at the unresolved scales are important. Providing information at finer scales can be achieved through using high resolution in dynamical models or empirical statistical downscaling. Development of downscaling methodologies remains an important focus. Downscaled climate change projections tailored to specific needs are only now starting to become available.
  • Published in:
    In Climate Change, 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, University Press, Cambridge, Chapter 11
  • Pages:
    847-940
  • Language:
    English
  • Published Year:
    2007
  • External Link:
    Web address